Update README.md
#4
by jcisecki911 - opened
README.md
CHANGED
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@@ -64,4 +64,303 @@ This code repository is licensed under [the MIT License](https://github.com/deep
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## 6. Contact
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-
If you have any questions, please raise an issue or contact us at [service@deepseek.com](mailto:service@deepseek.com).
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## 6. Contact
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| 66 |
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+
If you have any questions, please raise an issue or contact us at [service@deepseek.com](mailto:service@deepseek.com).
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+
# Rebuild the interactive Excel model from scratch, add a BridgeData sheet,
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# and generate a revenue bridge PNG plus a 1-page memo PDF.
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import os
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import pandas as pd
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from openpyxl import Workbook, load_workbook
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from openpyxl.utils import get_column_letter
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from openpyxl.styles import Alignment, Font, PatternFill, Border, Side, NamedStyle, numbers
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from openpyxl.worksheet.datavalidation import DataValidation
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from openpyxl.chart import BarChart, Reference
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from openpyxl.workbook.defined_name import DefinedName
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import matplotlib.pyplot as plt
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from matplotlib.backends.backend_pdf import PdfPages
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base_path = "/mnt/data"
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xlsx_path = os.path.join(base_path, "D4W_MAUI_Aylo_Model_Sept_21_2025.xlsx")
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# ---------- Build workbook ----------
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wb = Workbook()
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# Styles
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header_fill = PatternFill("solid", fgColor="1F4E78")
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subheader_fill = PatternFill("solid", fgColor="D9E1F2")
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white = PatternFill("solid", fgColor="FFFFFF")
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thin = Side(style="thin", color="DDDDDD")
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border_all = Border(top=thin, left=thin, right=thin, bottom=thin)
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title_font = Font(bold=True, color="FFFFFF")
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bold_font = Font(bold=True)
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# Sheet: Inputs
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ws = wb.active
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ws.title = "Inputs"
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inputs = [
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["Label", "Name", "Value", "Min", "Max", "Notes"],
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["GMV per unit ($)", "GMV", 100, 100, 100, "Per-$100 analysis anchor"],
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["Current Payment Fee (as % of GMV)", "Pay_Current", 0.032, 0, 0.1, "Blended incl. chargebacks"],
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["Target Payment Fee (best-case)", "Pay_Target", 0.016, 0, 0.1, "Mixed rails auth ↑ fraud ↓"],
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["Payment Mix Shift Achieved (0–1)", "Pay_Shift", 0.50, 0, 1, "0=no change; 1=target reached"],
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["Current Infra COGS (store/CDN/compute/ID/mod)", "Infra_Current", 0.10, 0, 0.5, "Blended infra cost"],
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["Target Infra COGS (best-case)", "Infra_Target", 0.075, 0, 0.5, "Decentralized + automation"],
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["Infra Savings Achieved (0–1)", "Infra_Shift", 0.75, 0, 1, "0=no change; 1=target reached"],
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["Current Compliance & Legal", "Comp_Current", 0.03, 0, 0.2, "Age/consent, takedowns, counsel"],
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["Target Compliance & Legal", "Comp_Target", 0.015, 0, 0.2, "Policy-as-code + evidence"],
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["Compliance Automation Achieved (0–1)", "Comp_Shift", 0.75, 0, 1, "0=no change; 1=target reached"],
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["Platform Rake (Current)", "Plat_Current", 0.15, 0, 0.5, "Ops, S&M, G&A capture"],
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["Platform Rake (New, baseline)", "Plat_New", 0.12, 0, 0.5, "Adjust to hold net"],
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["D4W Program Rake (2–7%)", "D4W_Rake", 0.04, 0.02, 0.07, "Funds infra, governance"],
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]
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for r, row in enumerate(inputs, start=1):
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for c, val in enumerate(row, start=1):
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ws.cell(row=r, column=c, value=val)
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ws.cell(row=r, column=c).border = border_all
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if r==1:
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ws.cell(row=r, column=c).fill = header_fill
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ws.cell(row=r, column=c).font = title_font
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ws.cell(row=r, column=c).alignment = Alignment(horizontal="center")
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elif c==1:
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ws.cell(row=r, column=c).fill = subheader_fill
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ws.cell(row=r, column=c).font = bold_font
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# Validation
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for r in range(3, len(inputs)+1):
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dv = DataValidation(type="decimal", operator="between",
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formula1=str(ws.cell(row=r, column=4).value),
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formula2=str(ws.cell(row=r, column=5).value),
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allow_blank=False)
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ws.add_data_validation(dv)
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dv.add(ws.cell(row=r, column=3))
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# Named ranges
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for r in range(2, len(inputs)+1):
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name = ws.cell(row=r, column=2).value
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ref = f"'{ws.title}'!$C${r}"
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dn = DefinedName(name=name, attr_text=ref)
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wb.defined_names.append(dn)
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ws.column_dimensions["A"].width = 42
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ws.column_dimensions["B"].width = 24
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ws.column_dimensions["C"].width = 18
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ws.column_dimensions["F"].width = 50
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ws["F2"] = "Tip: Developer → Insert → Scroll Bar. Link to the input cells in column C."
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# Sheet: Model
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ws2 = wb.create_sheet("Model")
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model_rows = [
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("GMV", "=GMV"),
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("Payment Fee – Current", "=Pay_Current"),
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("Payment Fee – New", "=Pay_Current - (Pay_Current - Pay_Target)*Pay_Shift"),
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("Infra COGS – Current", "=Infra_Current"),
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("Infra COGS – New", "=Infra_Current - (Infra_Current - Infra_Target)*Infra_Shift"),
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("Compliance – Current", "=Comp_Current"),
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("Compliance – New", "=Comp_Current - (Comp_Current - Comp_Target)*Comp_Shift"),
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("Platform Rake – Current", "=Plat_Current"),
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("Platform Rake – New", "=Plat_New"),
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("D4W Rake – New", "=D4W_Rake"),
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("Net After Fees – Current", "=1 - (Pay_Current + Infra_Current + Comp_Current)"),
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("Net After Fees – New", "=1 - ((Pay_Current - (Pay_Current - Pay_Target)*Pay_Shift) + (Infra_Current - (Infra_Current - Infra_Target)*Infra_Shift) + (Comp_Current - (Comp_Current - Comp_Target)*Comp_Shift))"),
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("Creator Payout – Current (as % GMV)", "=(1 - (Pay_Current + Infra_Current + Comp_Current)) - Plat_Current"),
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("Creator Payout – New (as % GMV)", "=(1 - ((Pay_Current - (Pay_Current - Pay_Target)*Pay_Shift) + (Infra_Current - (Infra_Current - Infra_Target)*Infra_Shift) + (Comp_Current - (Comp_Current - Comp_Target)*Comp_Shift))) - Plat_New - D4W_Rake"),
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]
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ws2.append(["Metric", "Value (as % of GMV)"])
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ws2["A1"].font = title_font; ws2["A1"].fill = header_fill; ws2["A1"].alignment = Alignment(horizontal="center")
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ws2["B1"].font = title_font; ws2["B1"].fill = header_fill; ws2["B1"].alignment = Alignment(horizontal="center")
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for i, (label, formula) in enumerate(model_rows, start=2):
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ws2.cell(row=i, column=1, value=label)
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ws2.cell(row=i, column=2, value=formula)
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ws2.cell(row=i, column=1).border = border_all
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ws2.cell(row=i, column=2).border = border_all
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ws2.cell(row=i, column=2).number_format = "0.00%"
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ws2.column_dimensions["A"].width = 42
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ws2.column_dimensions["B"].width = 24
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# Sheet: Per_100
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ws3 = wb.create_sheet("Per_100")
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ws3.append(["Line item", "% of GMV", "$ per 100 (Current)", "$ per 100 (New)"])
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for c in range(1,5):
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ws3.cell(row=1, column=c).fill = header_fill
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ws3.cell(row=1, column=c).font = title_font
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ws3.cell(row=1, column=c).alignment = Alignment(horizontal="center")
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ws3.cell(row=1, column=c).border = border_all
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per_rows = [
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("GMV", "1", "=GMV", "=GMV"),
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("Payment fees", "=Pay_Current", "=GMV*Pay_Current", "=GMV*(Pay_Current - (Pay_Current - Pay_Target)*Pay_Shift)"),
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("Infra COGS", "=Infra_Current", "=GMV*Infra_Current", "=GMV*(Infra_Current - (Infra_Current - Infra_Target)*Infra_Shift)"),
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("Compliance & legal", "=Comp_Current", "=GMV*Comp_Current", "=GMV*(Comp_Current - (Comp_Current - Comp_Target)*Comp_Shift)"),
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("Net after fees/COGS", "=1 - (Pay_Current + Infra_Current + Comp_Current)", "=GMV*(1 - (Pay_Current + Infra_Current + Comp_Current))", "=GMV*(1 - ((Pay_Current - (Pay_Current - Pay_Target)*Pay_Shift) + (Infra_Current - (Infra_Current - Infra_Target)*Infra_Shift) + (Comp_Current - (Comp_Current - Comp_Target)*Comp_Shift)))"),
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("Platform rake", "=Plat_Current", "=GMV*Plat_Current", "=GMV*Plat_New"),
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("D4W rake", "0", "0", "=GMV*D4W_Rake"),
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("Creator payout", "=(1 - (Pay_Current + Infra_Current + Comp_Current)) - Plat_Current", "=GMV*((1 - (Pay_Current + Infra_Current + Comp_Current)) - Plat_Current)", "=GMV*(((1 - ((Pay_Current - (Pay_Current - Pay_Target)*Pay_Shift) + (Infra_Current - (Infra_Current - Infra_Target)*Infra_Shift) + (Comp_Current - (Comp_Current - Comp_Target)*Comp_Shift))) - Plat_New - D4W_Rake))"),
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]
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for i, (label, pct, cur, new) in enumerate(per_rows, start=2):
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ws3.cell(row=i, column=1, value=label)
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ws3.cell(row=i, column=2, value=pct)
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ws3.cell(row=i, column=3, value=cur)
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ws3.cell(row=i, column=4, value=new)
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for c in range(1,5):
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ws3.cell(row=i, column=c).border = border_all
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ws3.cell(row=i, column=2).number_format = "0.00%"
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for c in [3,4]:
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ws3.cell(row=i, column=c).number_format = numbers.FORMAT_CURRENCY_USD_SIMPLE
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ws3.column_dimensions["A"].width = 30
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ws3.column_dimensions["B"].width = 16
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ws3.column_dimensions["C"].width = 20
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ws3.column_dimensions["D"].width = 20
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# quick bar chart for creator payout
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chart = BarChart()
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chart.title = "Creator Payout ($ per 100) — Current vs New"
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chart.y_axis.title = "USD"
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chart.x_axis.title = "Scenario"
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data = Reference(ws3, min_col=3, min_row=8, max_col=4, max_row=8)
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cats = Reference(ws3, min_col=3, min_row=1, max_col=4, max_row=1)
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chart.add_data(data, titles_from_data=False)
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chart.set_categories(cats)
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ws3.add_chart(chart, "F3")
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# Sheet: Sensitivity
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ws4 = wb.create_sheet("Sensitivity")
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ws4["A1"] = "Creator payout ($/100) vs D4W rake and Savings Achieved (applies equally to Pay/Infra/Comp)"
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ws4["A1"].font = bold_font
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d4w_values = [0.02, 0.04, 0.07]
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save_values = [0.50, 0.75, 1.00]
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ws4.append(["Savings → / D4W ↓"] + d4w_values)
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thin = Side(style="thin", color="DDDDDD")
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border_all = Border(top=thin, left=thin, right=thin, bottom=thin)
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for r, s in enumerate(save_values, start=3):
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ws4.cell(row=r, column=1, value=s)
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for c, d in enumerate(d4w_values, start=2):
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| 238 |
+
pay_new = f"(Pay_Current - (Pay_Current - Pay_Target)*{s})"
|
| 239 |
+
infra_new = f"(Infra_Current - (Infra_Current - Infra_Target)*{s})"
|
| 240 |
+
comp_new = f"(Comp_Current - (Comp_Current - Comp_Target)*{s})"
|
| 241 |
+
formula = f"=GMV*(1 - ({pay_new} + {infra_new} + {comp_new})) - GMV*Plat_New - GMV*{d}"
|
| 242 |
+
ws4.cell(row=r, column=c, value=formula)
|
| 243 |
+
ws4.cell(row=r, column=c).number_format = numbers.FORMAT_CURRENCY_USD_SIMPLE
|
| 244 |
+
ws4.cell(row=r, column=c).border = border_all
|
| 245 |
+
for col in range(1, 1+len(d4w_values)+1):
|
| 246 |
+
ws4.column_dimensions[get_column_letter(col)].width = 20
|
| 247 |
+
|
| 248 |
+
# Sheet: Memo
|
| 249 |
+
ws5 = wb.create_sheet("Memo (1-pager)")
|
| 250 |
+
memo_lines = [
|
| 251 |
+
"Investment Committee Cover Memo – Maui/D4W x Aylo (Sept 21, 2025)",
|
| 252 |
+
"Recommendation: Approve pilot with KPI-gated creator uplift; preserve Aylo net margin; D4W rake 2–7% funded from savings.",
|
| 253 |
+
"Why Now: Regulatory enforcement + payment brand risk → compliance rail becomes market rail.",
|
| 254 |
+
"Economics (per $100 GMV): Current creator $68.8 → New $73.4; D4W $4.0; Aylo net held via OPEX reduction.",
|
| 255 |
+
"Guardrails: KPI gates; throttle D4W rake within 2–7%; platform rake new baseline at 12% (adjustable).",
|
| 256 |
+
"Gaps: Confirm revenue mix, PSP auth/chargeback rates, infra COGS, moderation unit cost, legal run-rate.",
|
| 257 |
+
"Next Steps: 12-week MVP (age+consent DID), pilot scope sign-off, weekly KPI dashboard, vendor RFP.",
|
| 258 |
+
"",
|
| 259 |
+
"Instructions: Use the 'Inputs' sheet to adjust assumptions. To add sliders: Developer » Insert » Scroll Bar; link to input cells."
|
| 260 |
+
]
|
| 261 |
+
for i, line in enumerate(memo_lines, start=1):
|
| 262 |
+
ws5.cell(row=i, column=1, value=line)
|
| 263 |
+
|
| 264 |
+
# Add BridgeData
|
| 265 |
+
ws6 = wb.create_sheet("BridgeData")
|
| 266 |
+
data_rows = [
|
| 267 |
+
["Item", "Value ($ per 100)", "Type"],
|
| 268 |
+
["Savings (Payments+Infra+Compliance)", 5.60, "increase"],
|
| 269 |
+
["Creator Uplift", -4.60, "decrease"],
|
| 270 |
+
["D4W Program Rake", -4.00, "decrease"],
|
| 271 |
+
["Platform Rake Reduction", 3.00, "increase"],
|
| 272 |
+
["Net Balance", 0.00, "total"]
|
| 273 |
+
]
|
| 274 |
+
for r, row in enumerate(data_rows, start=1):
|
| 275 |
+
for c, val in enumerate(row, start=1):
|
| 276 |
+
ws6.cell(row=r, column=c, value=val)
|
| 277 |
+
ws6.cell(row=r, column=c).border = border_all
|
| 278 |
+
if r == 1:
|
| 279 |
+
ws6.cell(row=r, column=c).fill = header_fill
|
| 280 |
+
ws6.cell(row=r, column=c).font = title_font
|
| 281 |
+
ws6.cell(row=r, column=c).alignment = Alignment(horizontal="center")
|
| 282 |
+
elif c == 1:
|
| 283 |
+
ws6.cell(row=r, column=c).font = bold_font
|
| 284 |
+
ws6.column_dimensions["A"].width = 38
|
| 285 |
+
ws6.column_dimensions["B"].width = 22
|
| 286 |
+
ws6.column_dimensions["C"].width = 16
|
| 287 |
+
|
| 288 |
+
wb.save(xlsx_path)
|
| 289 |
+
|
| 290 |
+
# ---------- Create revenue bridge PNG ----------
|
| 291 |
+
labels = [r[0] for r in data_rows[1:-1]]
|
| 292 |
+
values = [r[1] for r in data_rows[1:-1]]
|
| 293 |
+
|
| 294 |
+
fig, ax = plt.subplots(figsize=(8, 4))
|
| 295 |
+
colors = ["#2ECC40" if v > 0 else "#FF4136" for v in values]
|
| 296 |
+
cum = 0
|
| 297 |
+
x, y, bottoms = [], [], []
|
| 298 |
+
for i, v in enumerate(values):
|
| 299 |
+
x.append(i)
|
| 300 |
+
if v > 0:
|
| 301 |
+
bottoms.append(cum)
|
| 302 |
+
y.append(v)
|
| 303 |
+
cum += v
|
| 304 |
+
else:
|
| 305 |
+
bottoms.append(cum + v)
|
| 306 |
+
y.append(-v)
|
| 307 |
+
cum += v
|
| 308 |
+
|
| 309 |
+
for i in range(len(values)):
|
| 310 |
+
ax.bar(x[i], y[i], bottom=bottoms[i], color=colors[i], edgecolor="black")
|
| 311 |
+
|
| 312 |
+
ax.axhline(0, color="black", linewidth=0.8)
|
| 313 |
+
ax.set_xticks(range(len(labels)))
|
| 314 |
+
ax.set_xticklabels(labels, rotation=20, ha="right")
|
| 315 |
+
ax.set_ylabel("USD per $100 GMV")
|
| 316 |
+
ax.set_title("Savings Allocation Bridge (Mid-case)")
|
| 317 |
+
plt.tight_layout()
|
| 318 |
+
|
| 319 |
+
bridge_png = os.path.join(base_path, "Revenue_Bridge.png")
|
| 320 |
+
plt.savefig(bridge_png, dpi=200)
|
| 321 |
+
plt.close(fig)
|
| 322 |
+
|
| 323 |
+
# ---------- Create 1-page PDF memo ----------
|
| 324 |
+
pdf_path = os.path.join(base_path, "IC_Memo_OnePager.pdf")
|
| 325 |
+
lines = [
|
| 326 |
+
"Investment Committee Cover Memo – Maui/D4W x Aylo (Sept 21, 2025)",
|
| 327 |
+
"",
|
| 328 |
+
"Recommendation: Approve KPI-gated pilot; preserve Aylo net; fund D4W rake (2–7%) from savings.",
|
| 329 |
+
"Why Now: Enforcement/brand-risk turns compliance into the market rail; Big Tech avoids the vertical.",
|
| 330 |
+
"",
|
| 331 |
+
"Economics (per $100 GMV, mid-case):",
|
| 332 |
+
"• Current: Creator $68.80, Platform rake $15.00, Payments $3.20, Infra $10.00, Compliance $3.00.",
|
| 333 |
+
"• With D4W: Creator $73.40 (+$4.60), D4W $4.00, Platform rake $12.00, Payments $1.60, Infra $7.50, Compliance $1.50.",
|
| 334 |
+
"• Savings (+$5.60) = Creator uplift (+$4.60) + D4W (+$4.00) – Platform rake reduction (−$3.00).",
|
| 335 |
+
"",
|
| 336 |
+
"Guardrails & KPIs:",
|
| 337 |
+
"• +150–300 bps auth, −20–40% chargeback bps, −30–50% moderation unit-cost, T+1 payouts, zero incidents with full evidence.",
|
| 338 |
+
"• Creator uplift released in bands; D4W rake throttled 2–7% to hold platform net.",
|
| 339 |
+
"",
|
| 340 |
+
"Sensitivities:",
|
| 341 |
+
"• If savings land at 50% and D4W ≥5% while creator uplift >+6 pts, platform net may compress — pause uplift or reduce D4W rake until KPIs hit.",
|
| 342 |
+
"",
|
| 343 |
+
"Implementation & Budget:",
|
| 344 |
+
"• MVP (12 weeks): DID+ZK age/consent rail, automated evidence, royalty engine — ~$430k.",
|
| 345 |
+
"• Pilot: 1–2 Aylo properties; payment savings within 4–8 weeks; infra/compliance savings follow.",
|
| 346 |
+
"",
|
| 347 |
+
"Data Gaps (pre-term sheet): revenue mix by brand; PSP auth & chargeback rates; infra COGS; moderation unit cost/volumes; legal run-rate.",
|
| 348 |
+
]
|
| 349 |
+
|
| 350 |
+
with PdfPages(pdf_path) as pdf:
|
| 351 |
+
fig, ax = plt.subplots(figsize=(8.27, 11.69)) # A4 portrait
|
| 352 |
+
ax.axis("off")
|
| 353 |
+
y = 0.97
|
| 354 |
+
for ln in lines:
|
| 355 |
+
ax.text(0.05, y, ln, fontsize=10, va="top")
|
| 356 |
+
y -= 0.035 if ln else 0.02
|
| 357 |
+
# Insert bridge image
|
| 358 |
+
import matplotlib.image as mpimg
|
| 359 |
+
if os.path.exists(bridge_png):
|
| 360 |
+
img = mpimg.imread(bridge_png)
|
| 361 |
+
ax.imshow(img, extent=(0.05, 0.95, 0.09, 0.35), aspect="auto")
|
| 362 |
+
pdf.savefig(fig, bbox_inches="tight")
|
| 363 |
+
plt.close(fig)
|
| 364 |
+
|
| 365 |
+
xlsx_path, bridge_png, pdf_path
|
| 366 |
+
|